Monday, January 17, 2011

Stool Sample...



In my very first blog post, I mentioned the frustration of the left-tilted media. I promised to expose their deception on major stories. Let's proceed.

Yesterday, I saw a headline provided by the Associated Press, or as I call it, Associated to the Pres., stating "Opposition to Obamacare Decreases". Based upon an AP/GFK poll, it found that 41 percent of respondents oppose the law, while 40 percent support it. In November after congressional elections, opposition was 47 percent.

Hummm...so in a matter of a few weeks, opposition goes from 47 to 41%-- almost a 20% decline, when the legislation has not changed? This story makes headlines the week before the GOP will repeal Obamacare in the House, 2nd helping of hummm..

Here is the snake oil. Two weeks before the November election, AP-GFK polled and ACCURATELY forecasted voters leaning to vote Republican 48% to Democrats 42%, which was spot on. Congratulations. In this poll, their sample was: likely and registered voters.

Fast forward 6 weeks and poll on another political issue, Obamacare. Poll sample: 1,001 adults. As a result of using "adults" vs. "likely and registered voters", Democrat leaning adults stayed at 42% (the same sample as the November elections), but Republican sampling dropped to 36% (instead of the November sample of 48%  Republicans).  The magical headline that results when AP-GFK polls less Republicans-- "Opposition to Obamacare Decreases".

Question-- If you were spot on accurate with your political poll in November, what would be your motivation to change your sampling data when you have another political-related poll six weeks later?  Draw your own conclusion. With a vote coming on Obamacare this week, the Associated Press is spreading frosting on the turd.

/Dave/     

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